Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.005403 0.005709 0.006025 0.006377 0.006760 0.007163 0.007622
2025-12-21 0.004743 0.005169 0.005630 0.006168 0.006783 0.007467 0.008291
2025-12-28 0.004447 0.004949 0.005510 0.006188 0.006990 0.007920 0.009089
2026-01-04 0.004256 0.004818 0.005462 0.006261 0.007238 0.008407 0.009938
2026-01-11 0.004039 0.004635 0.005331 0.006214 0.007321 0.008686 0.010532
2026-01-18 0.003873 0.004498 0.005240 0.006202 0.007435 0.008996 0.011175
2026-01-25 0.003709 0.004351 0.005126 0.006147 0.007484 0.009217 0.011705
2026-02-01 0.003645 0.004323 0.005154 0.006270 0.007764 0.009751 0.012698
2026-02-08 0.003524 0.004215 0.005073 0.006243 0.007839 0.010009 0.013313
2026-02-15 0.003422 0.004127 0.005013 0.006238 0.007939 0.010300 0.013993
2026-02-22 0.003296 0.004001 0.004897 0.006150 0.007916 0.010411 0.014404
2026-03-01 0.003183 0.003888 0.004793 0.006073 0.007901 0.010530 0.014831
2026-03-08 0.003101 0.003814 0.004738 0.006062 0.007983 0.010798 0.015523
2026-03-15 0.002956 0.003651 0.004557 0.005867 0.007787 0.010635 0.015497
2026-03-22 0.002897 0.003601 0.004529 0.005886 0.007904 0.010957 0.016303
2026-03-29 0.002860 0.003579 0.004536 0.005954 0.008098 0.011408 0.017370
2026-04-05 0.002786 0.003505 0.004469 0.005910 0.008117 0.011579 0.017954
2026-04-12 0.002728 0.003449 0.004425 0.005899 0.008184 0.011830 0.018705
2026-04-19 0.002660 0.003378 0.004357 0.005848 0.008186 0.011971 0.019260
2026-04-26 0.002648 0.003385 0.004398 0.005962 0.008455 0.012581 0.020776
2026-05-03 0.002594 0.003330 0.004350 0.005938 0.008498 0.012800 0.021540
2026-05-10 0.002548 0.003286 0.004316 0.005933 0.008571 0.013077 0.022448
2026-05-17 0.002482 0.003211 0.004234 0.005851 0.008512 0.013110 0.022846